Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.011016 0.013354 0.016297 0.020366 0.026004 0.033798 0.045897
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.008146 0.010730 0.014418 0.020359 0.030357 0.048051 0.086575
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.006601 0.009138 0.013047 0.020018 0.033508 0.062645 0.150401
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.005412 0.007721 0.011454 0.018561 0.033703 0.071697 0.223921
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004647 0.006793 0.010402 0.017664 0.034516 0.083298 0.351857
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004177 0.006251 0.009876 0.017591 0.037183 0.103932 0.673684
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003874 0.005935 0.009682 0.018132 0.041808 0.139777 1.812028
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003573 0.005575 0.009328 0.018201 0.045219 0.179203 6.168599
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003242 0.005117 0.008701 0.017437 0.045564 0.204604 22.343181
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003000 0.004793 0.008292 0.017112 0.047352 0.247774 865.887017
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002887 0.004696 0.008338 0.017994 0.054551 0.374997 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002815 0.004668 0.008525 0.019342 0.065341 0.658563 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002718 0.004602 0.008670 0.020826 0.080306 1.465651 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002541 0.004355 0.008362 0.020820 0.087674 2.675078 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002369 0.004100 0.007990 0.020468 0.092769 4.884344 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002163 0.003754 0.007345 0.018965 0.087769 5.543722 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002006 0.003497 0.006891 0.018042 0.086657 7.890374 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001903 0.003346 0.006682 0.017967 0.092891 21.997964 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001835 0.003265 0.006640 0.018524 0.106577 485.533262 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001755 0.003148 0.006487 0.018595 0.116220 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001651 0.002970 0.006151 0.017807 0.114846 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001572 0.002842 0.005933 0.017473 0.119047 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001539 0.002816 0.005993 0.018381 0.143676 NaN NaN